Krugman

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And the answer is...No!

And if they did, America wouldn't even know it. Take a look at the above chart. Paul Krugman then writes:

But the political argument against focusing on the deficit is even stronger than he realizes — because there are very good odds that even if Obama exhibited iron fiscal discipline, voters wouldn’t notice. There’s a remarkable, depressing paper by Achen and Bartels that includes an analysis of voter views of the deficit in 1996 — by which time the huge deficit that Bill Clinton inherited had been drastically reduced.

Yep: after one of the biggest moves toward budget balance in history, a majority of Republicans, and a plurality of all voters, believed that deficits had increased.

Not to put too fine a point on it: if Obama succeeded in reducing the deficit, would Fox News or the Washington Times report it? The truth is that the truth about budgets plays almost no role in real politics.

Bill Clinton actually reduced the deficit and Americans thought just the opposite and that was before FOX News had existed. Ask any of your friends that are deficit scolds this simple question. How is the deficit hurting their life? Ask them to give you real examples. They can't. It's fiction created by Grover Norquist and his conservatives cronies to tear down anything that has to do with the left. I'm not dismissing the deficit, but it's beyond belief the nonsense America believes about it.



Krugman: Without More Stimulus, Joblessness Is Here To Stay

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Paul Krugman explains why we can't settle for stabilizing the economy, and says unless there's a bigger economic stimulus package, high unemployment is here to stay for a long, long time:

The effects of the stimulus will build over time — it’s still likely to create or save a total of around three million jobs — but its peak impact on the growth of G.D.P. (as opposed to its level) is already behind us. Solid growth will continue only if private spending takes up the baton as the effect of the stimulus fades. And so far there’s no sign that this is happening.

So the government needs to do much more. Unfortunately, the political prospects for further action aren’t good.

What I keep hearing from Washington is one of two arguments: either (1) the stimulus has failed, unemployment is still rising, so we shouldn’t do any more, or (2) the stimulus has succeeded, G.D.P. is growing, so we don’t need to do any more. The truth, which is that the stimulus was too little of a good thing — that it helped, but it wasn’t big enough — seems to be too complicated for an era of sound-bite politics.

But can we afford to do more? We can’t afford not to.

High unemployment doesn’t just punish the economy today; it punishes the future, too. In the face of a depressed economy, businesses have slashed investment spending — both spending on plant and equipment and “intangible” investments in such things as product development and worker training. This will hurt the economy’s potential for years to come.

Deficit hawks like to complain that today’s young people will end up having to pay higher taxes to service the debt we’re running up right now. But anyone who really cared about the prospects of young Americans would be pushing for much more job creation, since the burden of high unemployment falls disproportionately on young workers — and those who enter the work force in years of high unemployment suffer permanent career damage, never catching up with those who graduated in better times.

Even the claim that we’ll have to pay for stimulus spending now with higher taxes later is mostly wrong. Spending more on recovery will lead to a stronger economy, both now and in the future — and a stronger economy means more government revenue. Stimulus spending probably doesn’t pay for itself, but its true cost, even in a narrow fiscal sense, is only a fraction of the headline number.

O.K., I know I’m being impractical: major economic programs can’t pass Congress without the support of relatively conservative Democrats, and these Democrats have been telling reporters that they have lost their appetite for stimulus.

But I hope their stomachs start rumbling soon. We now know that stimulus works, but we aren’t doing nearly enough of it. For the sake of today’s unemployed, and for the sake of the nation’s future, we need to do much more.


Mike's Blog Roundup

alicublog: Gun Nuts

The Anonymous Liberal: The mistake of assuming the existence of GOP core principles, much less, intelligence

the Big Mattress: To the Tea Party People

The Reaction: It's called the free market and it's turned on Glenn Beck

Bob Minor: Will what professionals say about LGBT people finally matter?

OFF THE BEATEN PATH: KroydBlog, Paul Krugman Like a Father to Me, No Smoking in the Skull Cave, Manifesto Joe's Texas Blues


Mike's Blog Roundup

Blue Gal: Sex, class, and our debt to society

Clusterstock: Krugman: Yes, California is a crisis of democracy

The Reaction: If there is a divide in the Republican party -- which is to say, if there are two sides competing for control -- it is a soundly lop-sided affair

Obsidian Wings: Robert Samuelson's dishonest jihad against Social Security

D-Day: North Korea continues its Screaming Baby act

Unqualified Offerings: Sadly, No! is on a roll, and so is Roy


Hardball: Is President Bush Holding Democrats Hostage?

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On Tuesday's Hardball, CBS contributor Nancy Giles and the NY Times'** Paul Krugman discussed the Democrats' inability to stop the occupation of Iraq and their apparent fear of confronting the worst president in our history.

Giles thinks the Democrats suffer from a kind of battered politician syndrome and are just taking baby steps, but Krugman says that while it's unforgivable, some party members say they don't need to worry about not ending the war immediately because Democratic voters will never vote for Republicans who want to expand the disaster in Iraq into Iran.

**corrected, thanks to all who called it to our attention


Paul Krugman: the Conscience of a Liberal

Show him some love and pick up a copy....